zpostcode
Tree rings reveal summer 2023 was the hottest in 2 millennia
Oct 28, 2025 4:43 PM

Last year's summer was the hottest in 2,000 years, ancient tree rings reveal.

Researchers already knew that 2023 was one for the books, with average temperatures soaring past anything recorded since 1850. But there are no measurements stretching further back than that date, and even the available data is patchy, according to a study published Tuesday (May 14) in the journal Nature. So, to determine whether 2023 was an exceptionally hot year relative to the millennia that preceded it, the study authors turned to records kept by nature.

Trees provide a snapshot of past climates, because they are sensitive to changes in rainfall and temperature. This information is crystalized in their growth rings, which grow wider in warm, wet years than they do in cold, dry years. The scientists examined available tree-ring data dating back to the height of the Roman Empire and concluded that 2023 really was a standout, even when accounting for natural variations in climate over time.

"When you look at the long sweep of history, you can see just how dramatic recent global warming is," co-author Ulf Bntgen, a professor of environmental systems analysis at the University of Cambridge in the U.K., said in a statement. The data indicated that "2023 was an exceptionally hot year, and this trend will continue unless we reduce greenhouse gas emissions dramatically," he said.

Temperatures recorded during the summer of 2023 exceeded those of the coldest summer in the past 2,000 years, in A.D. 536, by 7 degrees Fahrenheit (3.9 degrees Celsius). That relatively cool summer followed a volcanic eruption that dumped huge amounts of sunlight-blocking sulfur particles into the stratosphere, which triggered global cooling, according to the study.

Related: 'We were in disbelief': Antarctica is behaving in a way we've never seen before. Can it recover?

Bntgen and his colleagues also compared the tree-ring data with written temperature records from the 19th century. Climate change is evaluated against a baseline average temperature that prevailed before the Industrial Revolution, and it turns out that temperatures around 1850 were slightly colder than previously thought, the researchers found.

When they recalibrated the baseline temperature to reflect this, the researchers concluded that, in the Northern Hemisphere, the threshold set by the Paris Agreement to limit warming to 1.5 C (2.2 F) above pre-industrial levels has already been breached.

Three tourists stand close to a fan spraying nebulized water during summer 2023 in Rome, Italy.

With the recalibration, the researchers also estimated that the Northern Hemisphere summer of 2023 was an average 3.7 F (2 C) warmer than all the summers between 1900 and 1950. After 2023, the next hottest summer on record was 2016, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

"It's true that the climate is always changing, but the warming in 2023, caused by greenhouse gases, is additionally amplified by El Nio conditions," lead author Jan Esper, a professor of climate geography at the Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz in Germany, said in the statement.

RELATED STORIESThe 'safe' threshold for global warming will be passed in just 6 years, scientists say

Controversial climate change study claims we'll breach 2 C before 2030

Michael Mann: Yes, we can still stop the worst effects of climate change. Here's why.

El Nio conditions could last into early summer 2024, meaning the coming months may break last year's record, according to the study. Climate scientists forecast El Nio could quickly flip into the opposite atmospheric pattern of La Nia, but the switch probably won't diminish this summer's heat because the effects of La Nia would take time to kick in.

One limitation of the new study is that the results may only apply to the Northern Hemisphere, the authors noted, since that's where they sourced the tree-ring data. Data for the same period is sparse in the Southern Hemisphere, and the trees there may respond differently to fluctuations in the climate due to a large portion of that hemisphere being covered by oceans.

Comments
Welcome to zpostcode comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Recommend >
Leslie Leiserowitz
  Leslie Leiserowitz Israeli chemist Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/biography/Leslie-Leiserowitz Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/biography/Leslie-Leiserowitz Written by Erik Gregersen Erik Gregersen is a senior editor at Encyclopaedia Britannica, specializing in the physical sciences and technology. Before joining Britannica in 2007, he worked at the University of Chicago Press on the......
list of kings of Saudi Arabia
  list of kings of Saudi Arabia Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/topic/list-of-kings-of-Saudi-Arabia Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/topic/list-of-kings-of-Saudi-Arabia Written by Adam Zeidan Adam Zeidan is an Assistant Managing Editor, having joined Encyclopædia Britannica in 2018. He covers a range of topics related primarily to the Middle East and North Africa. Adam...
Ariarne Titmus
  Ariarne Titmus Australian swimmer Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/biography/Ariarne-Titmus Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/biography/Ariarne-Titmus Also known as: Ariarne Elizabeth Titmus Written and fact-checked by The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica Encyclopaedia Britannica's editors oversee subject areas in which they have extensive knowledge, whether from years of experience gained by working...
Kamasutra
  Kamasutra work by Vatsyayana Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/topic/Kamasutra Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/topic/Kamasutra Also known as: “Kāmasūtra” Written by Wendy Doniger Wendy Doniger is the Mircea Eliade Distinguished Service Professor of the History of Religions in the Divinity School at the University of Chicago. Her research and teaching...
Information Recommendation
Understanding sequence risk and its impact on your retirement savings
     Imagine you’ve scrimped and saved for decades to build a decent nest egg. You’re ready to retire and know how much you can withdraw from your retirement account each year. But then stocks take a dive. You retire into a bear market, and at the end of a couple of rough years, you’re not sure your investments will support...
Micro-investing: Your gateway to financial empowerment?
     Looking for a logical way to get started with investing? If you only have a few dollars to spare, then you may be interested in micro-investing. With lots of options for automation, plus user-friendly trading platforms, micro-investing can feel like a no-brainer—and the magnitude of the financial benefits might surprise you.   Investing isn’t just for rich folks and professionals,...
spitting cobra
  spitting cobra snake group Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/animal/spitting-cobra-group Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/animal/spitting-cobra-group Written by Sanat Pai Raikar Sanat Pai Raikar is a quizmaster and writer based out of Bangalore, India. His first quiz book, Three's A Quiz, was written from memory. Sanat has cofounded Quizarre, which provides...
Liu Cixin
  Liu Cixin Chinese author Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/biography/Liu-Cixin Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/biography/Liu-Cixin Written by Will McDonald Will McDonald is a New York City-based writer and performer. Will McDonald Fact-checked by The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica Encyclopaedia Britannica's editors oversee subject areas in which they have extensive knowledge,...
K-pop
  K-pop popular music Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/art/K-pop Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/art/K-pop Also known as: Kpop Written by Suzan Colón Suzan Colón has written several books and is a former senior editor of O, the Oprah Magazine. Suzan Colón Fact-checked by The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica Encyclopaedia Britannica's...
bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers
  bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers business Actions Cite verifiedCite While every effort has been made to follow citation style rules, there may be some discrepancies. Please refer to the appropriate style manual or other sources if you have any questions. Select Citation Style MLA APA Chicago Manual of Style Copy Citation Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/event/bankruptcy-of-Lehman-Brothers...
Battle of Belleau Wood
  Battle of Belleau Wood World War I [1918] Actions Cite verifiedCite While every effort has been made to follow citation style rules, there may be some discrepancies. Please refer to the appropriate style manual or other sources if you have any questions. Select Citation Style MLA APA Chicago Manual of Style Copy Citation Share Share Share to social media Facebook...
list of civilians detained by foreign governments and groups
  list of civilians detained by foreign governments and groups Actions Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/topic/list-of-civilians-detained-by-foreign-governments-and-groups Share Share Share to social media Facebook X URL https://www.britannica.com/topic/list-of-civilians-detained-by-foreign-governments-and-groups Written by Tracy Grant Tracy Grant is editor-in-chief of Encyclopaedia Britannica. Tracy Grant Fact-checked by The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica Encyclopaedia Britannica's editors oversee subject areas in which they have...